STI 2018 Annual Report
14 conditions and volatile or unstable financial markets would likely adversely affect our capital markets-related businesses. Changes in market interest rates or capital markets could adversely affect our revenue and expenses, the value of assets and obligations, as well as the availability and cost of capital and liquidity. Market risk refers to potential losses arising from changes in interest rates, foreign exchange rates, equity prices, commodity prices, and other relevant market rates or prices. Interest rate risk, defined as the exposure of net interest income and MVE to adverse movements in interest rates, is our primary market risk, and mainly arises from the nature of the interest- earning assets and interest-bearing liabilities on our balance sheet. We are also exposed to market risk associated with our assets and liabilities measured at fair value (i.e., trading securities, derivative instruments, securities AFS, certain other equity securities, trading loans, certain LHFS and LHFI, residential MSRs, brokered time deposits, and certain structured notes and fixed rate issuances included in long-term debt). The ALCO meets regularly and is responsible for review of interest rate risk positioning and the establishment of policies tomonitor and limit exposure to market risk. The policies established by the ALCO are reviewed and approved by our Board. See additional discussion of changes in market interest rates in the “Market Risk Management” section of Item 7, MD&A, in this Form 10-K. Given our business mix, and the fact that most of our assets and liabilities are financial in nature, our balance sheet can be sensitive to, and we must closely monitor, movements in market interest rates and spreads as well as the performance of the financial markets. In addition to the impact of the general economy, changes in interest rates or in valuations in the debt or equity markets could directly impact us in one or more of the following ways: • The yield on earning assets and rates paid on interest- bearing liabilities may change in disproportionate ways; or • The value of certain on-balance sheet and off-balance sheet financial instruments that we hold could change adversely. Our net interest income is the difference between the interest we earn on loans, debt securities, and other earning assets we hold and the interest expense we pay on deposits, debt, and other rate-bearing liabilities. Net interest margin is the difference between the yield on our earning assets and the rate paid for deposits and other sources of funding. Our net interest income is a function of both our net interest margin and the amount of earning assets we hold and changes in either net interest margin or the amount of our earning assets could affect our net interest income and our earnings. Changes in the absolute level of interest rates can affect our net interest margin. Although the yield we earn on our assets and our funding costs tend to move in the same direction in response to changes in interest rates, one can rise or fall faster than the other, causing our net interest margin to expand or contract. When interest rates rise, our funding costs may rise faster than the yield we earn on our assets, causing our net interest margin to contract. Higher interest rates may also tend to result in lower mortgage production income and elevated charge-offs in certain categories of the loan portfolio. The amount and type of earning assets and rate-bearing liabilities that we hold can affect our yield, rate paid, and net interest margin. We hold earning assets in the form of loans and investment securities, among other assets. As noted above, if economic conditions deteriorate, we may see lower demand for loans by creditworthy customers, reducing our interest income. In addition, we may invest in lower yielding investment securities for a variety of reasons. Changes in the slope of the yield curve could also reduce our net interest margin. Normally, the yield curve is upward sloping, meaning short-term rates are lower than long-term rates. The interest we earn on our assets and our costs to fund those assets may be affected by changes in market interest rates, changes in the slope of the yield curve, and our cost of funding. This could lower our net interest income and our net interest margin. We discuss these topics in greater detail in the “Enterprise Risk Management” and “Net Interest Income/ Margin” sections of Item 7, MD&A, in this Form 10-K. We assess our interest rate risk by estimating the effect on our earnings under various scenarios that differ based on assumptions about the direction, magnitude, and speed of interest rate changes and the slope of the yield curve. We hedge some of that interest rate risk with interest rate derivatives; however, these hedges may not be fully effective and may cause volatility or losses in our net interest income. Interest rates on our outstanding and future financial instruments might be subject to change based on regulatory developments, which could adversely affect our revenue, expenses, and the value of those financial instruments. LIBOR and certain other “benchmarks” are the subject of recent national, international, and other regulatory guidance and proposals for reform. These reforms may cause such benchmarks to perform differently than in the past or have other consequences which cannot be predicted. On July 27, 2017, the United Kingdom’s Financial Conduct Authority, which regulates LIBOR, publicly announced that it intends to stop requiring banks to submit LIBOR rates after 2021. It is unclear whether, at that time, LIBOR will cease to exist or if new methods of calculating LIBORwill be established.Although the Federal Reserve and various financial industry groups are engaged in efforts to develop and implement a replacement benchmark rate for U.S. dollar-denominated LIBOR, it is uncertain when those efforts will be finalized or the extent to which any replacement will be accepted and utilized by market participants. If LIBOR ceases to exist or if the methods of calculating LIBOR change fromcurrent methods for any reason, interest rates on our floating rate obligations, loans, deposits, derivatives, and other financial instruments tied to LIBOR rates, as well as the revenue and expenses associated with those financial instruments, may be adversely affected. Further, these effects could be different for each of our various financial instruments that are tied to LIBOR rates, which could adversely impact our net interest income and net interest margin, force us to incur costs to re-balance our mix of interest earning assets and interest-bearing liabilities, or cause us to re-form certain of our derivative instruments or other financial instruments. Any
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